GI
GoDaddy Inc. (GDDY)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 revenue was $1.194B, up 8% YoY, with Applications & Commerce (A&C) +17% and Core Platform +3%; normalized EBITDA margin expanded to 30.5% and free cash flow rose 26% to $411M .
- GoDaddy reaffirmed FY2025 guidance: revenue $4.860–$4.940B (+7% YoY midpoint), ~100bps NEBITDA margin expansion, and ≥$1.5B free cash flow; Q2 revenue guided to $1.195–$1.215B with ~31% NEBITDA margin .
- Management completed the 2022 $4.0B repurchase program (25%+ reduction in fully diluted shares since 2022) and announced a new $3.0B authorization through 2027, highlighting strong capital returns and confidence in cash generation .
- The Airo AI experience continues to improve attach, conversion, and term length; pricing and bundling delivered ahead of expectations, supporting A&C growth and margin expansion; management emphasized resilient SMB demand and minimal direct tariff exposure .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Strong top-line and cash generation: Revenue +8% YoY ($1.194B), NEBITDA +16% ($364M), NEBITDA margin 30.5%, and free cash flow +26% ($411M) .
- Segment execution: A&C revenue +17% to $446M with segment EBITDA margin 44.1% (+180bps); Core revenue +3% to $748M with segment EBITDA margin 31.5% (+160bps) .
- Strategic initiatives gaining traction; CEO: “Airo…is showing up as better attach, term length and renewals…we expect to take this even further” via Agentic AI .
What Went Wrong
- Customer count declined -2.4% YoY to 20,484 as mix shifts favor higher-intent cohorts and prior divestitures; management expects a return to customer growth later this year .
- GAAP net income down vs prior year due to lapping non-routine tax benefits; Q1 2024 included a $267.4M non-cash tax benefit making year-over-year comparability noisy .
- Transactional aftermarket creates volatility; management cautioned larger transactions are not baked into guidance, a key swing factor for near-term revenue .
Financial Results
Consolidated performance vs prior quarters
Segment breakdown
KPIs
Q1 2025 actuals vs Wall Street consensus (S&P Global)
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO: “Airo…is showing up as better attach, term length and renewals…With Agentic AI, we expect to take this even further. Agents…will…do the work for [customers] across multiple jobs to be done.”
- CFO: “Total revenue was at the top end of our guided range…normalized EBITDA margin…exceeding our guide…We…retired over 25% of our fully diluted shares outstanding since inception of the program.”
- CFO on macro: “For GoDaddy, our direct exposure to tariffs is not material…our customers’ resilience gives us confidence in our full year 2025 guidance.”
- CEO on pricing/bundling: “Delivering ahead of our expectations in Q1…we are encouraged by the results…testing new bundles and pricing options…including third-party products.”
Q&A Highlights
- Airo Plus is in early testing; Airo continues to drive higher attach, faster second-product adoption, and positive cohort retention signals; management will ramp marketing as confidence builds .
- Customer count stability expected to turn to growth later in 2025, with focus on higher-intent cohorts (average order size and attach improving) .
- Aftermarket is the biggest transactional swing factor; larger deals are not assumed in guidance, contributing to revenue variability .
- Commerce GPV trends healthy post-tariff headlines; services skew persists within commerce customer base .
- International revenue grew 10% YoY; FX headwinds modeled as modest; U.S. growth expected to outpace international by ~200bps for FY (from prior call) .
Estimates Context
- Q1 2025 results vs S&P Global consensus: revenue beat by 0.4% ($1,194.3M vs $1,189.3M), Primary EPS beat by 53% ($2.103 vs $1.373), while GAAP EBITDA missed by 21% ($281.7M vs $357.5M). The mix shift to higher-margin subscription solutions supports NEBITDA growth and margin expansion, but GAAP EBITDA is lower given operating expense timing and non-GAAP adjustments . Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
- Implication: Expect upward revisions to EPS and revenue models near term; caution on consensus EBITDA frameworks that differ from company’s normalized EBITDA presentation (NEBITDA). Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Q1 2025 Actual vs Consensus Detail (S&P Global)
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Reaffirmed FY guide and Q2 outlook underscores durable execution; combination of A&C growth, pricing/bundling and Airo monetization is driving free cash flow and margin expansion .
- Shareholder returns remain a core catalyst: completion of $4B buyback (25%+ FD share reduction) and new $3B authorization through 2027 signal confidence in intrinsic value and cash generation .
- Airo platform is transitioning from engagement to monetization (Airo Plus, site optimizer, WordPress editor); expect incremental attach and ARPU tailwinds, with broader base rollout over coming quarters .
- Watch transactional aftermarket variability and FX as near-term swings; management does not assume large aftermarket deals in guide, creating asymmetry for upside surprises .
- Cohort quality over quantity: lower customer count YoY but improving average order size, multi-product attach and retention; management targets customer growth resumption later in 2025 .
- Cash conversion remains strong (approximate 1:1 NEBITDA to FCF per management), with FY2025 ≥$1.5B FCF target intact—supports ongoing buybacks and optionality for investment .
- Trading lens: Near-term narrative likely rewards beats on EPS/revenue and the new $3B buyback; monitor Q2 delivery on ~31% NEBITDA margin and A&C mid-teens growth to sustain momentum .
Additional Q1 2025 Context: Press Releases
- GoDaddy Agency launched to connect agencies with SMB leads and tools (commissions, premium WordPress tools, co-branded campaigns), expanding partner ecosystem and potential A&C attach pathways .
- Company communications emphasized resilient SMB sentiment amid macro uncertainties, reinforcing demand stability for GoDaddy’s mission-critical offerings (if referenced).